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Visitation Forecasting and Predicting Use of NPS Parks and Visitor Center: Focus Group Report
On March 12, 2003 a focus group organized by the NPS Park Planning and Special Studies Program and the NPS Social Science Program met at Turkey Run Park on the George Washington Memorial Parkway. The purpose of the meeting was to assist the NPS in planning visitor centers and related projects that are cost-effective and of appropriate scope and size. The focus group provided information on trends in visitation forecasting and recreation and tourism demand modeling that could inform the planning and design of visitor centers and other park facilities. Group participants discussed ways in which qualitative and quantitative approaches to population change and participation in recreation and tourism activities could be applied to predict use of parks and visitor centers up to 20 years into the future.
Executive summary -- Introduction -- State of the Art in Forecasting Population Change and Modeling Recreation and Heritage Tourism Demand -- Implications of the State of the Art for Predicting Use of NPS Parks and Visitor Centers -- General Implications for the National Park Service -- Appendix
National Park Service
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